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  • [New] Diplomatic talks with Iran appear strained, as sweeping U.S. demands, including zero nuclear enrichment and snap inspections, are unlikely to gain traction, fueling speculation that military action could be imminent. Waggoner Financial
  • [New] With prolonged distrust, ongoing military buildups, minimal communication, a gutted security architecture, and continued Kremlin provocations, there will be no shortage of scenarios in which a small spark could lead to a continental conflagration. / Russia The Council on Foreign Relations, Inc
  • [New] Military action by foreign powers will not succeed in shutting down Iran's nuclear energy scheme. SBS News
  • [New] Iran must reach a deal on its nuclear programme within 10 to 15 days or face really bad things, as Tehran warned it would retaliate against US bases if attacked, amid a large American military buildup in the Middle East that has heightened tensions. Yahoo News UK
  • [New] The risk is that Iran would retaliate, be it against U.S. military forces in the region, Israel, shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, or oil facilities across the Middle East. Home & Away
  • [New] The arrival of the USS Ford aircraft carrier and its strike group to the Eastern Mediterranean in the coming days will be a key factor in the timing of a possible military campaign against Iran. Just Security
  • [New] Ukraine's European allies pledged 38 billion euros ($44.7bn) in military aid in 2026 during a Ramstein format meeting - the alliance of more than 50 countries which plans military aid for Ukraine - including 2.5 billion euros ($2.9bn) for Ukrainian drones - one of the most successful 'Ramsteins'. Al Jazeera
  • [New] Regional and global powers, including Russia, have called for restraint and diplomacy, even as the potential for further military escalation remains a central risk scenario. Rhame & Gorrell Wealth Management | The Woodlands Finan
  • [New] The military aircraft segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR of 7.4% from 2026 to 2034 due to heightened defence spending following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and NATO's call for members to allocate at least 2% of GDP to defence. Market Data Forecast
  • [New] The US military buildup in the Middle East means Iran's window to reach a diplomatic agreement over its nuclear activities is at risk of closing. Yahoo Finance
  • [New] The global military drones sector could approach $187 billion by 2034 under aggressive adoption and modernization scenarios. GlobeNewswire
  • [New] External factors - primarily U.S. military threats and ripple effects from a Venezuela humanitarian and security crisis - could overwhelm Colombia's capacity to implement the 2016 Peace Accords and could fundamentally alter the political calculus for all parties. Council on Foreign Relations
  • [New] The 20-year project is projected to build four factories, create 50,000 jobs, and anchor central New York as a semiconductor hub for manufacturing and advanced technology jobs. WSTM
  • [New] With no sign of an imminent end to Russia's four-year all-out war against Ukraine, and the U.S. taking military action in Iran, Syria, Venezuela and Africa under President Donald Trump, many voters see a growing risk of global conflict. Politico
  • [New] In the next couple of decades, the impact of space power in the military field in particular will outstrip anything experienced thus far. Britain's World
  • [New] Without more robust Space Domain Awareness and space control capabilities, as well as cross-domain deterrence options, the UK's industrial, economic and military dependencies on space will remain vulnerable. Britain's World
  • [New] Russia wants to expand its military and political opportunities and considers a direct clash with the West highly likely, if not unavoidable, in the near future. Atlantic Council
  • [New] Any Russian military operation to seize NATO territory will be preceded by an assessment of expected Alliance reactions; if the chances of a robust response are considered low, the probabilities that Russia might act increase. Atlantic Council
  • [New] Russia does not intend to launch a military attack on NATO in 2026-2027 but will continue rebuilding its armed forces out of concern over European Union rearmament. NV
  • [New] The Rapid Support Forces and Sudanese Armed Forces could exploit a civil war in South Sudan to further their military aims in Sudan. Critical Threats

Last updated: 22 February 2026



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