[New] The U.S. economy's ability to avoid recession while managing the impacts of higher tariffs and immigration policy changes will be a key factor.
Stock Market News
[New] After a bumpy start to 2025 thanks to tariffs, recession risks and high rates, the S&P 500 has erased all of its losses for the year - and now is coming close to achieving a new record high.
Bankrate.com
[New] A higher PMI reading, stable prices, rising new orders, and a pickup in job creation could ease fears of a US recession, potentially delaying Fed rate cuts.
FX Empire
[New] The lowest rung of junk bonds are flashing warnings that the US economy could soon face slower growth and higher inflation, as well as the possibility of a recession.
financialpost
Global Financial markets have endured months of turmoil, with overlapping concerns over the US debt downgrade, recession fears, and an intensifying global trade war.
Global Financial Market Review
Gold price today are getting influenced by global economic uncertainties, geo-politics, financial unrest, US government credit rating downgrade, increased recession risk, and US-China trade war.
FinancialExpress
The de-escalating U.S.-China trade war reduces recession risks by lowering uncertainty, improving business and consumer confidence and reducing the threat of supply chain disruptions, though further tariff negotiations remain uncertain.
Telemus
Growth in Canada will be lower, and a recession more severe, if the United States maintains or even ratchets up its tariffs, if no trade agreement is concluded and uncertainty prevails, or if there is an escalation of a trade war between the United States and China.
Bennett Jones LLP
Global equities hit a record high this week on optimism around US-China trade negotiations and as robust economic data eased recession fears in the US.
The BondBeat
Barring more significant changes to existing U.S. tariffs, we expect growth in both Canada and the U.S. to slow in 2025, but expect both to avoid a recession.
RBC
Global markets responded to weaker-than-expected U.S. economic data, intensifying speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates at least twice within the year to stave off recession.
Minichart
More immediately, the Trump import tariffs coupled with a slowing US economy heighten the risk of another Japanese economic recession.
American Enterprise Institute - AEI
Geopolitical tensions, trade wars, and a possible U.S. recession could disrupt travel behaviour and impact group and business travel.
TravelPulse
Over the next five years, a major geopolitical conflict was the top risk, according to 61% of respondents, followed by the possibility of a global recession and a debt crisis.
finews.com
JPMorgan economists lowered the risk of the US economy entering a recession to below 50% from 60% previously after the United States and China reached a trade breakthrough in Geneva last month.
CNN
Trump's tariffs will halt Chinese shipments by mid-May, trigger empty store shelves and falling sales by late May, lead to layoffs in trucking and retail, and push the US into a recession by summer 2025.
New York Post
The risk of a U.S. recession has decreased in recent weeks due to strong employment and consumer spending data.
Nationwide Mortgage Bankers
Crude oil rose for the second straight week on hopes that the US economy would manage to avoid recession in the face of tariffs.
EWM Interactive
The value of the US dollar could plummet around 15% -20% over the next five to 10 years - and that a more immediate recession could hit the US economy by the end of 2025.
Business Insider
Goldman Sachs expects the Japanese yen to strengthen gradually against the US dollar, driven by growing US recession risks, flow dynamics, and valuation.
Exchange Rates UK
The outlook for global container demand in the remainder of the year remains highly uncertain amid a rapidly evolving trade policy landscape and increasing recession risks in the U.S.
MarketScreener India
The demand for artificial intelligence applications remains robust despite the macroeconomic uncertainty posed by the tariff-fueled turmoil that has increased the risk of a global recession.
Yahoo Finance
Last updated: 02 July 2025
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