[New] The UK government has announced it will operationalise regulations that will tackle illegal deforestation, by prohibiting the use of illegal commodities and establishing commodity-based due diligence reporting frameworks, Responsible Investor reports.
FTI Strategic Communications
[New] Upside risks: stronger-than-expected services inflation persistence, renewed energy or commodity price shocks, and tighter global financial conditions that transmit unevenly.
IC Your Trading Edge | Official Blog | Blog
[New] The Commodity Markets Outlook baseline assumes that Middle East-related supply disruptions ease in the third quarter of 2026, limiting the severity and duration of supply constraints.
World Bank Group
[New] Towards the end of the projection horizon, the reduction in energy commodity prices, a recovery in real disposable income and improving confidence imply slightly stronger growth in 2028.
European Central Bank
[New] India's response imposing export bans to stabilise domestic commodity prices illustrated another dimension of El Nino risk that businesses rarely model: policy risk.
ET2C International
[New] The global coffee industry received important news during the week as Brazilian commodity experts forecast record coffee exports for the upcoming 2026/27 crop year.
flavorist.com
[New] The World Bank expects headline commodity prices to rise by around 16% in 2026, the first annual increase since 2022, mainly because of energy and fertiliser.
investing.com
[New] In global green trade, the first shipment of green ammonia produced at Envision's Chifeng Net Zero Industrial Park was delivered to LOTTE Fine Chemical in South Korea, marking a milestone in the emergence of green oil as a global zero-carbon commodity.
Cision PR Newswire
[New] NOAA's confirmation that El Nino has developed in the tropical Pacific raises the risk of renewed weather-related volatility across commodity markets over the next 6 to 18 months.
Saxo Bank (Schweiz) AG
[New] After a first half defined by the Iran war and its impact on oil, commodity prices and inflation, the rest of 2026 will test the global economy, even as AI-driven optimism continues to lift growth.
Yahoo! Finance
[New] Global inflation would rise by 0.4 percentage points in 2026 and 1.3 percentage points in 2027, with upside pressures from elevated commodity prices partially offset by weaker final demand.
ECOSCOPE
[New] Across Southeast Asia, inflation and trade figures from Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines will help gauge exposure to commodity price swings and slowing external demand.
financialpost
Supply chain disruptions and damage to regional oil and gas infrastructure have reinforced expectations for tighter supply and higher-for-longer commodity prices, supporting continued investment in North American drilling, infrastructure expansion, and strategic resource consolidation.
PwC
The Middle East conflict remains an active wildcard: if it escalates further, commodity price shocks could delay the inflation outlook materially.
Integrated Finance Group
Overall commodity prices will rise by 16% during 2026, driven by higher energy, fertilizer and raw material costs.
Global Agriculture
BNM said higher global commodity prices resulting from the West Asia conflict may push domestic cost pressures slightly higher, but the impact on inflation is expected to remain manageable.
Vietnam+ (VietnamPlus)
Senators are urging the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to clarify rules for event contracts and strengthen monitoring standards, warning that rapid growth in prediction markets is exposing weaknesses in safeguards against manipulation and consumer harm.
Government Executive
In annual terms, the growth rate of the import deflator is projected to stand at 3.7% in 2026, up from 0.0% in 2025, driven by higher energy commodity price pressures, though dampened by the past appreciation of the euro and cheap imports from China.
European Central Bank
Food inflation is expected to peak at 3.7% in the second quarter of 2027, reflecting increasing domestic food commodity prices related to higher energy and fertiliser costs, as well as other indirect effects of the energy price shock.
European Central Bank
Energy inflation is projected to peak at 12.5% in the third quarter of 2026, to fall sharply in 2027 owing to lower energy commodity prices and negative base effects, and to rise again in 2028 with the introduction of ETS2.
European Central Bank
In early 2027headline inflation is expected to decline because of expected lower energy commodity prices and because of large energy base effects as substantial increases in consumer energy prices in 2026 fall out of the year-on-year comparison.
European Central Bank
Decreases in energy commodity prices, as embedded in futures prices, as well as large base effects, imply that energy inflation would decline, turning negative in 2027, and would then tick up in 2028, owing to the introduction of the EU Emissions Trading System 2.
European Central Bank
Last updated: 07 July 2026
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