Our Scans · (FS.5.08) Markets & Instruments · Weekly Summary

• [New] Global bond markets remain volatile, with rising yields early in 2025 providing selective opportunities, but recent declines warrant a more cautious approach to duration and credit risk. Seeking Alpha
• [New] Following a recent easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, financial markets have entered a notably constructive phase, one that could pave the way for renewed momentum across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. cryptonews
• [New] When considered as a cohort with global emerging markets Brazil and Indonesia it is important that financial foresight, risk, and economic choices will reshape the global economy due to collectively expanding growth rates outside the US economy. Somvisit
• [New] The key risk to oil markets involves a closure of the Strait of Hormuz, located between Oman and Iran, which we would expect to be much more problematic for the global economy. RSMR Investment Research
• [New] Should Iran seek to close the Strait of Hormuz - a route critical to global oil supply - then financial markets would have to reassess risks. UK - EN - Institutional
• [New] More recently, oil spot prices jumped following Israel's attack on Iran, while oil price futures beyond the near team rose by less, suggesting markets perceive more-limited risk of lasting disruptions to global oil supplies. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
• [New] Credit markets may be starting to reprice risk, evidenced by a widening of spreads on new-issue syndicated loans and M&A-related loans in 1 Q 2025. Goldman Sachs Asset Management
• [New] IHG operates successfully in mature markets like North America and Europe while expanding aggressively in emerging markets, creating balanced revenue streams that reduce regional economic risk. Aviation a2z
• [New] If Iran's retaliation leads to a sustained disruption in global energy markets, American consumers will bear the brunt of higher prices. The American Bazaar
• [New] Emerging markets are especially exposed, as trade policy fragmentation adds layers of risk and undermines global supply chains. ITRC
• [New] Asian markets are likely to have a lively start on Monday as investors price in the latest developments in the Middle East, with gapping expected on the open, particularly in Oil, Gold, and other haven assets. IC Markets | Official Blog | Blog
• The Bank of England has held interest rates at 4.25%, a move widely expected by financial markets amid significant uncertainty over the economic impact of tariffs, UK government policy, and escalating conflict in the Middle East. Morningstar UK
• Many firms have begun diversifying production through China Plus One strategies, shifting manufacturing to emerging markets such as Vietnam, India, and Mexico to reduce geopolitical risk. Atlas Institute for International Affairs
• From infrastructure and sourcing strategies to labor markets and risk factors, the supply chain in Mexico offers unique characteristics that reflect its growing role in global supply chains and appeal to foreign companies seeking operational efficiency. Visigistics, LLC
• Tensions in the Middle East have escalated in recent days, lifting oil prices and reviving geopolitical risk across markets. eToro
• The main impact of an escalation in the Israel-Iran war would be on the energy markets with higher oil prices becoming a major upwards risk factor for inflation. Nasser Saidi & Associates
• Escalating conflict between Israel and Iran has injected significant risk into markets, but is creating bullish conditions for the oil sector. Seeking Alpha
• A finalized deal could boost global growth by stabilizing trade, but failure risks renewed tariff hikes, disrupting markets and supply chains. Tekedia
• As the European markets experience a positive shift with the pan-European STOXX Europe 600 Index climbing 0.9% and major stock indexes rising, investors are eyeing opportunities in dividend stocks amidst easing monetary policies by the European Central Bank. Simply Wall St
• Fiscal and Monetary Policy: Divergent and swiftly changing policy positions by central banks and governments could lead to tighter global nancial conditions and capital outows, particularly impacting emerging markets. Scribd
• Higher US interest rates would likely prove a headwind for countries with weaker external balances, including some ASEAN markets, but they could be a tailwind for other areas, including many Asian financial stocks. QuotedData

Last updated: 01 July 2025