Our Scans · (FS.6.01) Employment & Wages · Weekly Summary

• [New] Structural resilience from high-income consumer spending and AI productivity offsets risks like wage-driven inflation and global trade uncertainties. Ainvest
• [New] The next series of economic reports, including employment figures, inflation data, and consumer trends, will be critical in shaping the Fed's decisions and guiding the trajectory of the U.S. economy through the remainder of 2025. Cio Visionaries
• [New] The Federal Reserve is expected to remain data-driven and cautious, monitoring upcoming employment reports, inflation trends, and consumer spending patterns before implementing rate cuts. Cio Visionaries
• [New] If ING is right and wage growth drops below 3% in early 2026, one better hopes inflation slows down materially, particularly with employment growth stalling. Edge and Odds -
• [New] The mix of softer employment with sticky pay will be central for the BoE's policy path. Otet Markets Blog
• [New] In real terms, total New York City wage and salary falls 2.3% in 2025 and 4.0% in 2026. Office of the New York City Comptroller Brad Lander
• [New] Australia's second-largest disability employment provider Bedford will be kept afloat by a federal government funding injection as it seeks a buyer for the embattled business. Australian Broadcasting Corporation
• [New] UK growth is on the upside in 2025, now forecast at 1.4%, driven by strong business investment and elevated real wage growth. Insurance Business
• [New] Brazil's commodity-heavy economy grapples with a $40 billion external deficit and 5.32% mid-month inflation, sustaining 15% Selic rates amid 5.6% unemployment full employment driving wage-led services pressures, with growth cut to 2.0% for 2025 and 1.5% for 2026. The Rio Times
• [New] The employment boom at 5.6% unemployment and Petrobras' Amazon license progress bolster long-term growth to 2.0% in 2025, though inflation headwinds and global Fed signals introduce volatility risks. The Rio Times
• [New] Credibility faces political pressures (Trump's criticism) and internal FOMC dissent, risking inflation expectations if employment focus dominates. Ainvest
• [New] After a nine-month hiatus, the Fed looks set to resume lowering interest rates as it balances upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment. Bank of Ireland Corporate
• [New] Despite the inflation uptick, investors still expect the Fed to lower interest rates next week in response to a weakening employment situation in the U.S. Yahoo Finance
• [New] In Florida, digital equity means a future where every Floridian benefits from a connected economy through the meaningful use of high-speed Internet - to enhance educational and employment opportunities, access telehealth, and engage with families, and local communities. Benton Foundation
• Core inflation is expected to fall from 2.4% in 2025 to 1.9% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027, as wage pressures recede and services inflation moderates, while the appreciation of the euro feeds through the pricing chain and curbs goods inflation. Morningstar, Inc.
• The current weakness in job growth warrants aggressive rate cuts to mitigate downside risks, the presence of elevated inflation, partially attributed to ongoing tariff impacts, creates a tension in the Fed's dual mandate of stable prices and maximum employment. FinancialContent
• BOE could take a cautious approach to further rate reductions throughout 2025, as wage and services inflation is still hotter than central banks ultimately prefer. Benchmark Beat
• The employment of management analysts, including business analysts, is expected to grow 14% between 2018 and 2028. Simplilearn
• The revised UK minimum wage 2025 is expected to provide immediate benefits to millions of employees while also boosting economic activity. INPA
• While the Fed remains cautious about inflation reigniting due to import tariffs, its dual mandate of employment and price stability could justify further cuts by year-endMacroeconomic Tides Churn Crypto Seas: Fed, Debt, and Unlocks Fueling Volatility. / USA Ainvest
• The likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September is now nearly 100% after data showed US inflation rose at a moderate pace in July and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated that a half-point reduction could be possible amid weak employment numbers. Mexico Business
• The ILO stands ready to support Pakistan in advancing fair and transparent wage-setting systems, formalising informal work, and creating real opportunities for women across all sectors. Pakistan

Last updated: 14 October 2025