Our Scans · Ukraine · Weekly Summary

• [New] In the wake of Putin's invasion of Ukraine - and nuclear threats - Japanese officials at the highest levels have expressed support for nuclear-sharing arrangements with the United States. The American Legion
• [New] European countries will start preparing new sanctions on Russia within hours unless the Russian government agrees to abide by a ceasefire proposed by Ukraine. SBS News
• [New] Russo-Iranian Cooperation: Iran will reportedly deliver short-range ballistic missile launchers to Russia to support the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which highlights how Iran and Russia are continuing to bolster military cooperation at the expense of US allies. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] We agree that if the war in Ukraine is frozen, it would take Russia several years to restore its military forces, equipment and ammunition stockpiles before it could attack any European country. Teletype
• [New] Some believe that if the war in Ukraine is halted, Russia could rebuild its military to the level needed to launch a large-scale war against a NATO country within two years; others estimate five or even 8-10 years. Teletype
• [New] Russia's war in Ukraine has been a manifestation of wormhole escalation, whereby conflicts escalate and de-escalate erratically rather than following the stepwise ladder envisioned by Kahn. Center for Strategic and International Studies
• [New] Some European allies see the collapse of arms control in Europe as a symptom of Russia's war in Ukraine, in turn weakening their desire to entertain a return to arms control out of concern that it will not prevent future Russian aggression. Center for Strategic and International Studies
• [New] The promised transfer of additional Patriot missiles from Germany may strengthen Ukraine's air defences but is unlikely to arrive in time to counter immediate threats. Transform Ukraine
• [New] Depending on the nature of any peace deal, Ukraine could be left with limited or no security guarantees, remaining vulnerable to future Russian invasion. Futureuae
• [New] As long as Lukashenka is in power, Belarus will remain a launchpad for Russian aggression: Russian troops must be withdrawn not only from Ukraine but also from Belarus, including their nuclear weapons. Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
• [New] Military officers from around 30 countries have been involved in drawing up plans for a coalition, which would provide a peacekeeping force in the event of a ceasefire being agreed between Russia and Ukraine. SKY
• [New] Instead of tokenistic ceasefires drawn up at whim, it could choose to engage seriously and agree to an unconditional 30-day ceasefire, as Ukraine has done, to create space for talks on a just and lasting peace. GOV.UK
• [New] Unmanned systems have not changed the fact that Russia's larger military, despite humiliating tactical defeats, could outlast Ukraine in a war of attrition. War Room - U.S. Army War College
• [New] China's continuing support for Russia's war in Ukraine has alarmed western leaders and raised concerns that China could be learning lessons for an invasion of Taiwan. The Guardian
• [New] The fact that Russia is a country at war and that traveling there carries significant risks is simply a reality of the war between Russia and Ukraine. The Kyiv Independent
• [New] Hostile online behaviour by Russia was linked to physical threats to security as Moscow ramps up efforts to disrupt Ukraine. Insurance Journal
• [New] France and Germany will continue to work with the U.S. and willing nations on a ceasefire in Ukraine and to create conditions for just and lasting peace based on robust security guarantees. Defense News
• [New] The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine will closely observe further developments and continue to support international initiatives and efforts towards ensuring peace and stability in South Asia. Hindustan Times
• [New] While likely detrimental to Ukraine, a renewed BSGI could further benefit Russia if a deal were to facilitate the export of Russian ammonia through the Black Sea. Center for Strategic and International Studies
• [New] Three years since the full-scale invasion by Moscow's forces, Kiev's allies, as well as the US, appear muddled about whether Ukraine is losing, stuck in a stalemate, or could actually win. The Independent
• Poland has consistently warned Europe about the threat posed by Russia and has been a steadfast supporter of Ukraine in its defence against Russian advances, despite differing opinions with Washington on the Ukraine conflict. Archyde: Latest World News, Economy, Entertainment, Hea
• A potential ceasefire in Ukraine could further boost sentiment, benefiting European markets exposed to infrastructure and energy. Day Hagan Asset Management
• The ongoing conflict has drawn worldwide attention, and the depletion of Russian forces could lead to shifts in how countries approach their support for Ukraine. Trends Newsline

Last updated: 16 May 2025