Our Scans · Ukraine · Weekly Summary

• [New] European economies, including major manufacturing hubs such as Germany and Italy, were particularly exposed to the disruption of natural gas markets following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. IMF eLibrary
• [New] Geopolitical risks may boost gold and commodities, though peace in Ukraine and the Middle East could have the opposite effect. Invesco
• [New] The U.S. could offer lifting sanctions on the projects in the Arctic or guaranteeing Western investments if Russia cooperated on Ukraine. Responsible Statecraft
• [New] Given the current realities, Ukraine will cede Crimea and parts of southern and eastern Ukraine, reflecting the battlefield outcomes of the past three years. Antiwar.com
• [New] There's even speculation that the Nord Stream pipelines could be reactivated - allowing Europe to return to importing Russian gas - if Russia and Ukraine reach a peace agreement. Yahoo News
• [New] Iran, for its part, remains a multifaceted threat - advancing its nuclear program amid stalled negotiations, supplying armed drones to Russia for the Ukraine war, and supporting militant proxies across the Middle East. Library of Alexandria
• [New] A forthcoming joint investment fund between Ukraine and the United States will be authorised to invest in both mineral resource development and key infrastructure projects across Ukraine. Ukrainska Pravda
• [New] The heightened threat environment since Russia's invasions of Ukraine and the increasing accessibility of the Arctic Sea have only reinforced Greenland's strategic value to the United States and NATO. gmfus
• [New] Hopes of a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia have diminished in recent days, with the United States suggesting it could walk away from peace talks if a deal is not agreed soon. LBC
• [New] Moscow has responded to US threats to will abandon peace talks between Russia and Ukraine within days unless there are clear signs that a deal can be reached. The Independent
• [New] The United States will abandon efforts to end the war in Ukraine if it proves impossible to broker meaningful progress in the next several days. The New York Times
• [New] On the eastern war front against Russia, the coalition agreement pledges that military, civilian and political support for Ukraine will be substantially strengthened and reliably continued together with partners - and, if necessary, independently of the United States. World Socialist Web Site
• [New] Ukraine's calculation should weigh benefits of war termination now against both expected lives saved from current war termination and expected lives lost to Russia's next invasion. American Enterprise Institute - AEI
• [New] Geopolitical conflict, including Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the war in Gaza, have dramatically increased the number of cyber threats to North American power grids. Help Net Security
• [New] Continuing geopolitical concern surrounding conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, as well as the specter of a global trade war driven by the new US administration, have caused supply chain disruption. Foresight VCT PLC
• [New] Russia's ongoing war in Ukraine exposed the harsh reality that energy dependence can pose a threat to national security. tippinsights
• [New] In addition to providing financial support, the Ministry of Defence will support Ukraine to procure the equipment needed to fight Russia's invasion. GOV.UK
• [New] If the Ukraine war ends in 2025, there will be efforts by the Trump administration to adopt Kissingerian triangulation to see that Russia is no closer to China than to the U.S. VDH's Blade of Perseus
• [New] President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says he fears Russia's three-year war on Ukraine could escalate if Ukraine, supported by its allies, does not stand firm against further Russian military advancement. CBS News
• [New] The Foreign Affairs Council will exchange views on the Russian aggression against Ukraine, the situation in the Middle East, including Syria, EU-Africa relations and Western Balkans, and will be informed about current affairs. EUbusiness.com | EU news, business and politics
• [New] An end to American assistance would significantly worsen the military situation for Ukraine and could lead to the collapse of its defences. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP)
• A fourth potential risk is that the EU continues to provide financing for Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine. Bruegel | The Brussels-based economic think tank
• Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and in light of its weaponization of its natural gas exports, the EU's exposure to Russian uranium represents a potential strategic risk. Bruegel | The Brussels-based economic think tank

Last updated: 25 April 2025