Our Scans · Ukraine · Weekly Summary

• [New] Putin attempted to discourage the United States from selling Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine by downplaying their effectiveness and indirectly threatening the United States. Critical Threats
• [New] Russian authorities are likely trying to downplay the intended effects of the draft law on reservists, which ISW assesses will allow Russia to mobilize members of the active reserve on a rolling basis to sustain combat operations in Ukraine. Critical Threats
• [New] The Kremlin has been using defunct US-Russian arms control treaties to cater to the bilateral Russia-US relationship in the hopes of securing future concessions on Ukraine. Critical Threats
• [New] US officials reportedly stated that they expect Ukraine to conduct more Storm Shadow strikes against Russia. Critical Threats
• [New] The European Council's declaration on Ukraine boasts that the EU has already provided €177.5 billion since 2022 and commits to meeting Ukraine's urgent financial needs for 2026-2027, including for its military and defence efforts. World Socialist Web Site
• [New] Vodafone Group and Vodafone Ukraine will construct the Kardesa underwater cable system connecting Ukraine, Bulgaria, Turkey, and Georgia through the Black Sea, bypassing Russia. Presage Global
• [New] PURL participants plan to contribute $1 billion monthly for US weapons procurement for Ukraine. Presage Global
• [New] Ukraine expects Sweden to begin delivering its promised 150 Gripen fighter jets to Ukraine in early 2026. Critical Threats
• [New] The United States needs to take Russia's national interest into account when discussing peace in Ukraine; that NATO expansion poses an existential threat to Russian security; and that a settlement must take account of Russia's need to protect Russian-speakers living in eastern Ukraine. Critical Threats
• [New] Zelensky indicated that Ukraine expects to receive long-range missiles, including Tomahawks, from European countries. Ukraine's Arms Monitor
• [New] France will provide Ukraine with additional Mirage 2000-5 F fighter jets and Aster air defence missiles in the coming days. Ukraine's Arms Monitor
• [New] Ukraine expects to receive its first Saab Gripen fighters from Sweden in 2026. Ukraine's Arms Monitor
• [New] The Kremlin is free to use doomsday weapons against any nation propped up by a nuclear power, a clear threat against NATO and the US over their support of Ukraine. New York Post
• [New] Consideration of the draft State Budget of Ukraine for 2026 by the Verkhovna Rada will become another target for Russian information operations aimed at destabilizing the domestic situation. StopFake
• [New] The Kremlin notably has not offered any assurances that Russia will refrain from escalating its war in Ukraine even if the United States were to refrain from provisioning Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles. Critical Threats
• [New] ISW has observed the well-demonstrated pattern that Russia escalates its war in Ukraine as soon as it develops new weapons systems and tactics that Russia assesses will help its war effort. Critical Threats
• [New] The United States supplying long-range missiles to Ukraine will seriously damage relations between Moscow and Washington. 29 News
• [New] If the US gives the green light for Tomahawk delivery, it will remove the remaining guardrails from the Ukraine-Russia war and generate new global shockwaves. Mr. Geopolitics
• [New] President Donald Trump on Sunday warned Russia that he may send Ukraine long-range Tomahawk missiles if Moscow does not settle its war there soon - suggesting that he could be ready to increase the pressure on Vladimir Putin's government using a key weapons system. The American Legion
• [New] Ukraine will swap thousands of its drones to the U.S. in a deal for U.S.-made long-range missiles, which are typically launched from submarines and warships. Armstrong Economics
• [New] The upcoming meeting between Trump and Putin could attract EUR-positive speculation on a Ukraine truce. investing.com
• [New] Ukraine has become a crucible for drone warfare innovation, projected to deploy nearly five million drones into active combat in 2025. The Chronicle-Journal

Last updated: 31 October 2025