Our Scans · Ukraine · Weekly Summary

• [New] Predictive Analysis: Taiwan will likely leverage its semiconductor advantage to become the primary non-Chinese supplier for critical drone components (flight controllers, communications chips, power management systems) to Ukraine and NATO allies by 2027-2028. Drone Warfare
• [New] The integration of AI-navigation and autonomous targeting will likely accelerate as Ukraine seeks to counter Russian electronic warfare improvements, while swarm coordination capabilities will emerge to overwhelm air defences through saturation attacks. Drone Warfare
• [New] Predictive Analysis: Expect Russia to maintain 100+ drone nightly operations through winter 2025-2026, forcing Ukraine into unsustainable interceptor expenditure while Moscow refines multi-axis swarm coordination. Drone Warfare
• [New] Ukraine will likely continue deep-strike drone operations against legitimate military targets while Western intelligence agencies face pressure to rapidly declassify assessments to counter disinformation in real-time. Drone Warfare
• [New] Ukraine will likely expand counter-UAS integration with AI-enabled detection networks and directed energy weapons to manage the economic burden of kinetic interception at scale. Drone Warfare
• [New] Ukraine is expected to receive large quantities of US-developed ERAM (Extended Range Attack Munition) cruise missiles in 2026. UNITED24 Media
• [New] A more powerful FP-9 missile, boasting a 530-mile range and 1,760-pound warhead, is expected to complete testing by mid-2026. / Ukraine Espreso
• [New] Among the most significant additions are up to 14 Swedish Gripen C/D fighter jets, which Ukraine anticipates receiving in 2026. Espreso
• [New] NATO and senior European leaders are warning the public to be prepared for a possible large-scale war and are proposing the establishment of a US-backed, European-led multinational military force to enforce a possible peace agreement in Ukraine. Chief Geopolitics Officer
• [New] Russia risks collapse, while Ukraine innovates to survive. Fly a Jet Fighter
• [New] EU member states will provide Ukraine with a total of 90 billion euros in credit from their own budgets. Chief Geopolitics Officer
• [New] Of particular importance for Ukraine is the state of the European economy, which will remain weak with projected growth of only 1-1.2% year-on-year. GMK.CENTER
• [New] The Ukraine crisis will come to an unjust and worrying end in 2026, where Ukraine's (and the EU's) priorities will be ignored in favour of appeasing Russia. The Long Brief
• [New] A U.S.-brokered peace in Ukraine might pave the way for greater economic cooperation with Russia, in fields such as oil and gas exploration and other resource development in the Arctic. The Christian Science Monitor
• [New] A further escalation of the war in Ukraine could supercharge European integration and cooperation. The Parliament Magazine
• [New] The question of control over the part of the Donetsk region that Ukraine still holds, which includes sizable cities and fortifications that could be crucial to turning back further Russian advances, is perhaps the biggest impediment to a peace agreement. oilprice.com
• [New] The Russia-Ukraine war created ongoing disruptions in global natural gas supply. FX Empire
• [New] The shadow of a nuclear threat hovers over the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, which has evolved into an open proxy conflict between Moscow and NATO. Sky News Australia
• [New] If weapons never arrive in sufficient quantity, Ukraine will eventually surrender from exhaustion. Foreign Affairs Forum
• [New] Europe's ability to address its economic malaise, fill the security vacuum left by America's retreat, and sustain support for Ukraine past 2026 will suffer. The AI Journal

Last updated: 09 January 2026