Our Scans · Ukraine · Weekly Summary

• [New] Progress towards a Russia-Ukraine peace agreement in Berlin, where US officials indicated that 90% of outstanding issues have been resolved, raised prospects for easing restrictions on Russian oil flows at a time when markets already anticipate oversupply. IG
• [New] Poland is ready to transfer MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine in exchange for counter-drone systems, with a decision expected after certain formalities are resolved. Ukraine's Arms Monitor
• [New] Today, Ukraine faces a critical shortage of air-defence missiles, which European partners are reluctant to share, fearing new provocations from Russia. Ukraine's Arms Monitor
• [New] Safe-haven demand is expected to remain strong amid tensions in the Middle East, uncertainty over a Russia-Ukraine peace deal and more recently U.S. action against Venezuelan tankers. GV Wire
• [New] Ukraine War has brought security risk at the European Union doorstep. Dynamite News
• [New] The South Korean official apparently asked Russia to play a constructive role in ensuring peace on the Korean Peninsula, with Seoul looking to reopen dialog with North Korea in 2026 and efforts being made to end the war in Ukraine. Yonhap News Agency
• [New] Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine and its repercussions constitute a profound and enduring threat to European security and stability, a final declaration signed by the leaders stated. Space War
• [New] The focus for Ukraine will remain on securing necessary funding, maintaining vital trade routes, and ensuring energy supply stability, all while leaning on Western partnerships for further support. Maritime Fairtrade
• [New] The EU countries decided to provide Ukraine with a 90 billion euro financing in 2026-2027. TASS
• [New] Russian crude in transit surged 55% due to sanctions, while a Ukraine ceasefire could ease diesel markets. GeopoliticsUnplugged Substack
• [New] The Kremlin has insisted that Ukraine abandon its bid to join NATO and warned that it would not accept the deployment of any troops from members of the military alliance members and would view them as legitimate target. CityNews Halifax
• [New] Continuing trends from Ukraine and Gaza, artificial intelligence will be deployed for targeting, cyber attacks and other electronic warfare. Riskline
• [New] The estimated €136 billion of budget support needed by Ukraine in 2026 and 2027 is a relatively fixed figure regardless of whether any peace initiative comes to fruition. The Conversation
• [New] Drones have been used in combat to great effect in the Russia-Ukraine war, while a number of sightings of unidentified drones have caused operational disruptions at overseas airports and other facilities. DRONELIFE
• [New] Russian strikes threaten to completely disable transmission systems that move electricity from the western half of Ukraine, which stores most of Ukraine's electricity, to eastern Ukraine. Critical Threats
• [New] While negotiations are ongoing, Russian President Vladimir Putin escalated tensions by saying at a meeting with his top military officers that if Ukraine rejects a peace deal, he will increase military action against Ukraine. Successful Farming
• [New] The Russia picture remains uncertain into 2026; the Trump administration continues to push for a peace plan, but Ukraine remains steadfastly against any deal which surrenders land to Russia. Offshore Technology
• [New] Russia faced disruption as Ukraine attacked refineries and distribution facilities. Offshore Technology
• European leaders are expected to cement support for Ukraine Monday as it faces Washington's pressure to swiftly accept a U.S.-brokered peace deal. The American Legion
• Expectations that a global supply surplus will persist helped weigh on prices, fueled in part by hopes for a resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Morningstar, Inc.

Last updated: 26 December 2025