Our Scans · Ukraine · Weekly Summary

• [New] Russia plans to significantly increase the use of jet-powered strike drones in air attacks on Ukraine - their share could reach 50%. Militarnyi
• [New] By positioning Ukraine as a transatlantic security contributor without extending Article 5 guarantees, NATO can incorporate Kiev's battlefield experience while limiting the risk of geopolitical escalation. Atlas Institute for International Affairs
• [New] Allies pledged €70 billion in military equipment, assistance, and training for Ukraine in 2026, with a sovereign commitment to sustain at least equivalent levels in 2027, financed entirely by European allies and Canada. Atlas Institute for International Affairs
• [New] Tomorrow's medics, such as the young soldiers and sailors now in the course at Fort Bragg, could face a deluge of responsibilities after stabilizing casualties: feeding them, tracking intravenous fluids, and dealing with infections, a significant problem in Ukraine. Business Insider
• [New] In a perspective accession, Ukraine could increase the EU's autonomy on plant-based protein from 76% to 86%. Agriculture and rural development
• [New] Wheat futures felt pressure but were insulated by the continued escalation of fighting between Russia and Ukraine, which has threatened export flows out of the Black Sea region. Pro Farmer
• [New] As for Ukraine, if its state institutions remain stable, it will become a more militarized country with unique combat experience, trained personnel, and a developed military and strategic culture. Russia in Global Affairs
• [New] Ukraine still has sufficient mobilization potential to last for a long time, despite heavy combat losses and migration outflow. Russia in Global Affairs
• [New] Nobody anticipated the naval drones that Ukraine unleashed so effectively against Russia's Black Sea Fleet, while Moscow military planners were unprepared to defend against the long-range strike drones developed by Ukraine's vibrant defence tech industry. Atlantic Council
• [New] In addition GBP 300 million will be invested to learn lessons and technological developments from Ukraine to develop new lower cost cruise missiles, initially air-launched, but exploring follow on land and maritime options. Default
• [New] Ukraine has drones with a range of more than 3,000 km and will push that to between 5,000 and 10,000 km in 2027. gCaptain
• [New] Ukraine's growing fleet of Rafale jets could enable Ukraine to launch more SCALP / Storm Shadow missiles to augment and sustain its intermediate-range strike campaign. Critical Threats
• [New] Ukraine will be the first to receive the new French-Italian Sol-Air Moyenne-Portee / Terrestre New Generation (SAMP/T NG) air defence systems and that France will provide Ukraine with two SAMP/T systems in 2026. Critical Threats
• [New] The Black Sea is one of the world's most important grain-shipping routes, carrying cargoes from major producers Russia and Ukraine, and renewed threats to vessels and port facilities are raising fears that exporters could struggle to move crops to buyers in Africa, the Middle East and Asia. gCaptain
• [New] Russia's economy held up better than many expected despite Western sanctions after Putin launched the invasion of Ukraine. Newsday
• [New] The newly announced unmanned systems regiments will be subordinate to the Russian Navy and appear to be separate from USF, which has operated in support of Russian ground forces in Ukraine. Critical Threats
• [New] France will send 16 Rafale aircraft to Ukraine in 2028-2029, and allow Ukraine to build the Aster-30 missiles for SAMP/T air defence systems, AASM Hammer guided bombs and SCALP cruise missiles. Sarcastosaurus
• [New] Ukraine will receive Meteor air-to-air missiles with the Gripen jets. Sarcastosaurus
• [New] Refinery, terminal, and nuclear power plant attacks in Ukraine, rising tensions with China over Taiwan, and shadow fleet activity tied to sanctioned trade are reshaping the risk calculus for every voyage. MarineLink
• [New] The US Army plans to deploy at least two internal test ranges within the next four to six weeks to replicate real-world electronic warfare (EW) conditions seen on the battlefield in Ukraine. RBC-Ukraine
• [New] Ukraine has already contracted Patriot missile deliveries with its partners but that deliveries will not start until 2027. Critical Threats
• [New] The wider loan provides €30 billion for budgetary aid and €60 billion for defence support across 2026 and 2027, with €28.3 billion of the defence package scheduled for disbursement in 2026. / Ukraine Sigma Chambers
• [New] The U.S. will give Ukraine a license to build its own Patriot air defence systems, essential to countering ballistic missiles. CP24

Last updated: 07 August 2026