Our Scans · Ukraine · Weekly Summary

• [New] In addition GBP 300 million will be invested to learn lessons and technological developments from Ukraine to develop new lower cost cruise missiles, initially air-launched, but exploring follow on land and maritime options. Default
• [New] Ukraine has drones with a range of more than 3,000 km and will push that to between 5,000 and 10,000 km in 2027. gCaptain
• [New] Ukraine's growing fleet of Rafale jets could enable Ukraine to launch more SCALP / Storm Shadow missiles to augment and sustain its intermediate-range strike campaign. Critical Threats
• [New] Ukraine will be the first to receive the new French-Italian Sol-Air Moyenne-Portee / Terrestre New Generation (SAMP/T NG) air defence systems and that France will provide Ukraine with two SAMP/T systems in 2026. Critical Threats
• [New] The Black Sea is one of the world's most important grain-shipping routes, carrying cargoes from major producers Russia and Ukraine, and renewed threats to vessels and port facilities are raising fears that exporters could struggle to move crops to buyers in Africa, the Middle East and Asia. gCaptain
• [New] Russia's economy held up better than many expected despite Western sanctions after Putin launched the invasion of Ukraine. Newsday
• [New] The newly announced unmanned systems regiments will be subordinate to the Russian Navy and appear to be separate from USF, which has operated in support of Russian ground forces in Ukraine. Critical Threats
• [New] France will send 16 Rafale aircraft to Ukraine in 2028-2029, and allow Ukraine to build the Aster-30 missiles for SAMP/T air defence systems, AASM Hammer guided bombs and SCALP cruise missiles. Sarcastosaurus
• [New] Ukraine will receive Meteor air-to-air missiles with the Gripen jets. Sarcastosaurus
• [New] Refinery, terminal, and nuclear power plant attacks in Ukraine, rising tensions with China over Taiwan, and shadow fleet activity tied to sanctioned trade are reshaping the risk calculus for every voyage. MarineLink
• [New] The US Army plans to deploy at least two internal test ranges within the next four to six weeks to replicate real-world electronic warfare (EW) conditions seen on the battlefield in Ukraine. RBC-Ukraine
• [New] Ukraine has already contracted Patriot missile deliveries with its partners but that deliveries will not start until 2027. Critical Threats
• [New] The wider loan provides €30 billion for budgetary aid and €60 billion for defence support across 2026 and 2027, with €28.3 billion of the defence package scheduled for disbursement in 2026. / Ukraine Sigma Chambers
• [New] The U.S. will give Ukraine a license to build its own Patriot air defence systems, essential to countering ballistic missiles. CP24
• [New] The EU and Ukraine signed a letter of intent that aims to establish joint drone and anti-drone production by the end of 2026 and joint anti-ballistic missile production by 2028, as well as broader support for defence manufacturing. CP24
• [New] Even an army - which now burns through counter-drone systems and replaces them constantly, as the invasion of Ukraine has shown-operates inside a standing, funded mission it plans to run for years. Center for Strategic and International Studies
• [New] Ukraine will respond by undermining that war effort in accordance with its right to self-defence under international law. CEPA
• [New] Ukraine has acquired capabilities that could support drone operations beyond its territory, but their use depends on the availability of launch infrastructure and operational priorities. CEPA
• Ukraine has presented an export strategy aimed at increasing exports of goods and services to $85 billion by 2030 and raising their share of GDP to 33%. Presage Global
• Ukraine expects to receive an additional $1 billion by the end of 2026 if it implements the next agreed set of reforms. Presage Global
• Some larger banks are seeing opportunity in defence spending, with an almost unlimited need for munitions with conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East ongoing. Ardmore Banking Advisors, Inc
• The Russian Ministry of Defense stated in a post about Ukraine's overnight strikes targeting Russia that Russia will not ignore Western supplies of drones, missiles, and ammunition to Ukraine and will increase the number and intensity of Russia's strikes against Ukraine in response. Critical Threats
• Even if the situation in the Middle East stabilizes, Ukraine will continue to face challenges related to energy shortages, logistical constraints, and the need to adapt to CBAM. Vox Ukraine

Last updated: 31 July 2026