[New] This year's (2026-2027) El Nino weather phenomenon can significantly affect global commodities, and food price inflation can be expected, especially if it is confirmed to be what is commonly known as a 'Super El Nino'.
SeafoodNews
[New] Core inflation is expected to remain better anchored around the ECB's 2% medium-term objective, decelerating from 2.4% in 2025 to 2.3% in 2026 and 2.2% in 2027.
The Conference Board
[New] Gold stocks have been weighed down by a sharp rise in energy prices in 2026 and increased fears of rising inflation, which could result in the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates - a negative for non-yield bearing assets like gold.
financialpost
[New] On the heels of a stronger-than-expected jobs report, US inflation rose in May at the fastest pace in more than three years.
financialpost
[New] For several global central banks, the question of whether the Iran war poses more of an immediate danger to inflation or to growth is likely to remain open in the coming week.
financialpost
[New] UK growth is set to take a hit due to trade disruption while inflation could race past 6% in the worst case scenario.
City AM
[New] The escalation in the Middle East is pushing oil higher and lifting inflation risks, which in turn is reinforcing expectations that central banks stay tighter for longer.
Money Talks News
[New] Prolonged disruption in trade could pose severe consequences for the UK economy, with one Bank of England scenario suggesting that inflation could race past 6% and interest rates could be hiked to 5.25%.
City AM
[New] Higher oil prices will initially pose upward pressure on rates, but as inflation starts coming down in 2027, we will likely face a worsening economic outlook.
investing.com
[New] Consecutive rate hikes could be warranted if the Middle East conflict continues and higher energy prices start leading to ongoing generalized inflation.
investing.com
[New] Inflation forecasts were revised sharply higher, with the FY2026 core CPI projection raised to 2.8% from 1.9%, driven by energy costs, while the growth forecast was cut to 0.5% from 1.0% due to risks stemming from the Middle East.
investing.com
[New] Should the Iran war end and oil and gas prices decline, headline inflation could begin to cool.
WSLS 10
[New] The baseline projections see headline inflation, as measured by the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, peaking at 3.4% in the third and fourth quarters of 2026 and remaining above 3.0% until early 2027, driven by a surge in energy inflation as a result of the conflict in the Middle East.
European Central Bank
[New] If energy disruptions persist and oil averages $115 per barrel, global growth could slow to 2.1% while inflation could rise to 4.4%.
The Times Of India
[New] The ECB will release an updated set of economic projections, which most expect to show higher inflation forecasts for 2026 and 2027, as well as downward revisions to growth.
investing.com
[New] The CBI expects inflation to increase towards 4% by the end of 2026, driven primarily by higher fuel and household energy costs, alongside rising prices for energy-intensive goods and services.
CBI
[New] The Bank of England now expects inflation to rise again in the second half of 2026 as energy price effects broaden.
Capitalise
[New] U.S. inflation is expected to accelerate to 4.2% year-on-year from 3.8%, marking the highest reading in three years.
investing.com
[New] The energy price spike is now raising inflation and generating a sharp squeeze on household purchasing power that could intensify if the Middle East conflict keeps the strait of Hormuz closed.
The Guardian
[New] As the shocks from the Middle East crisis get passed on to consumers, inflation is set to rise while growth is expected to slow, further narrowing India's appeal among global investors.
CNBC
[New] The key reason that most FOMC participants think that an interest rate hike might be warranted later in 2026 is that inflation is currently running at 3.8%, or at roughly double the Fed's inflation target.
American Enterprise Institute - AEI
Fading hopes for a near-term resolution to the Middle East war and reopening the Strait of Hormuz are stirring fears that energy price pressures could morph into wider, systemic inflation.
ST
Inflation pressures pose a risk to asset quality in 2026, as higher oil prices erode real incomes and contribute to rising credit stress.
Fitch Solutions
Last updated: 16 June 2026
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