Global Scans · Military · Weekly Summary

• [New] The US Defense Intelligence Agency released a public assessment in 2025 that Iran has the capability to develop an ICBM by 2035. Critical Threats
• [New] Russian forces used incursions into NATO airspace to plan strikes against logistics routes in both Ukraine and Poland to cut flows of Western military assistance to Ukraine. Critical Threats
• [New] Global defence spending is expected to reach record levels in 2026, with estimates pointing to approximately US$ 2.6 trillion worldwide. BNN Bloomberg
• [New] A direct military confrontation between Israel, Iran, and the United States could trigger a regional war. Business Insider
• [New] The Israeli military used an AI system called Lavender in Gaza to generate target lists at a speed and scale no human process could match. Abhishek Gautam
• [New] The sheer scale of global defence spending, projected to exceed $2.8 trillion, coupled with multi-year NATO commitments, provides a robust demand environment. Kavout
• [New] Restraint, forward-looking policy, and robust integration are essential to turn German military resurgence from a potential hazard into a stabilizing force for Europe's security. Caliber.az
• [New] By drawing from Europe's phased approach and South Korea's missile defence development experience, Canada could pursue a path that secures its sovereignty, reinforces NATO, and increases alliance credibility without aiming for unattainable absolute defence. Modern Diplomacy
• [New] In the medium term, a Canada-South Korea cooperation framework could be explored, adapting upper-tier missile defence concepts to Arctic operating conditions, mirroring the logic of the step-by-step approach of the EPAA-first acquiring limited capacity and later expanding layers. Modern Diplomacy
• [New] Under near-constant threat, South Korea developed a cost-effective multi-layered missile defence system, balancing US interoperability with domestic control and export viability. Modern Diplomacy
• [New] By strengthening domestic component manufacturing, India will gain greater control over the technological infrastructure that powers essential sectors such as smartphones, drones, robotics, artificial intelligence, smart infrastructure and advanced defence systems. Organiser
• [New] Canada will provide two billion Canadian dollars ($1.4 billion) worth of military assistance to Ukraine in 2026 and 2027. Critical Threats
• [New] The establishment of joint Ukrainian-European production facilities outside of Ukraine throughout Europe will ensure continued Ukrainian defence industrial production in the face of intensified Russian long-range strikes across Ukraine. Critical Threats
• [New] Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania will create a Baltic Military Mobility Area (MMA) - described as a military Schengen zone to ease troop movements across borders and reduce bureaucracy during peacetime. FPRI Baltic Initiative
• [New] The global military drones sector could approach $187 billion by 2034 under aggressive adoption and modernization scenarios. GlobeNewswire
• [New] A military confrontation between the US and Iran could begin in the coming days and be an intensive, multi-week campaign. Counter Extremism Project
• [New] The US military will be ready to launch strikes against Iran as early as this weekend. Space War
• [New] The arrival of the USS Ford aircraft carrier and its strike group to the Eastern Mediterranean in the coming days will be a key factor in the timing of a possible military campaign against Iran. Just Security
• [New] The US military buildup in the Middle East means Iran's window to reach a diplomatic agreement over its nuclear activities is at risk of closing. Yahoo Finance
• [New] Iran must reach a deal on its nuclear programme within 10 to 15 days or face really bad things, as Tehran warned it would retaliate against US bases if attacked, amid a large American military buildup in the Middle East that has heightened tensions. Yahoo News UK

Last updated: 05 March 2026