Our Scans · Tajikistan · Weekly Summary

• The activities of the terrorist outfits on the borders of Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Kyrgyzstan are already visible and pose a threat to the stability of the mentioned states. Baku Dialogues Journal
• Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, which hold some of the world's largest hydropower resources, generate an electricity surplus during the summer months when their glaciers melt, which could benefit the neighboring densely-populated Afghanistan and Pakistan, which face acute electricity shortages in summer. The Diplomat
• Afghan nationals in Afghanistan will likely resort to desperate measures, including illegal border crossing, to seek asylum in other regional states, such as Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan. CTG
• Spatial patterns of the MME indicate an increase of up to 16% in the near future (2021-2050), notably over central Uzbekistan, southeastern Tajikistan, and southwestern Kyrgyzstan. SpringerLink
• The leaders of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan will now await the results of the 2024 US presidential election. Kyiv Post
• Geopolitical risks for official Ankara are increasing due to the fact that at the last EU-Central Asia summit, which was attended by Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan, a declaration was approved mentioning two UN anti-Turkish resolutions on the Cyprus conflict. EADaily
• Tajikistan's strategic priorities in the next five years will largely depend on its ability to diversify its economy and navigate its complex geopolitical environment. SpecialEurasia
• 1.5% of Tajikistan's total exports to China were zinc, and 17.5% were copper, demonstrating China's rising influence over Central Asia's minerals and the potential for raw material exploitation in Central Asian countries. E-International Relations
• Under all the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, it is predicted that the average projected mean ANP across CA will increase by up to 33% during the mid-century compared to the historical period, especially over central Uzbekistan and the high altitudes of Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. SpringerLink
• The Syr Darya flows through four Central Asian countries (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan) and is under threat from agricultural overuse, wasteful use of water and climate change. Barrons
• With the rise of violent extremism in Afghanistan posing a significant threat to Tajikistan's security, particularly affecting women, continued support for women's resilience against extremist groups is essential. Tajikistan
• The US will attempt to implement a new strategy involving Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Iran to halt the Chinese trade project. My Blog
• The US government had reportedly warned the Kremlin about intelligence that ISIS-Khorasan - which seeks a caliphate across Afghanistan, Pakistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Iran - was planning a mass casualty attack in Russia. American Enterprise Institute - AEI
• Message 7 To enhance resilience to climate change, accelerate low-carbon development, and ensure an inclusive green transition, Tajikistan will need to implement both a broad spectrum of structural as well as climate reforms. ReliefWeb
• With an additional US$ 1.0 billion of investment by 2030 (0.9% of GDP) and US$ 8.7 billion between 2031 and 2050 (2.7%), Tajikistan could put most sectors on the resilient and low-carbon growth path, with substantial benefits in energy security and export revenues. ReliefWeb
• Message 1 Tajikistan needs to take urgent actions to rejuvenate its growth model and diversify its economy as the current approach has depleted natural resources and failed to generate sufficient productive employment opportunities. ReliefWeb
• The Government of Tajikistan will provide counterpart funding of $23 million, while the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) will provide a $40 million cofinancing loan subject to the EBRD Board approval in early 2025. Asian Development Bank
• Despite the potential for a conflict of interests on the transport and transit track, it is still beneficial for Uzbekistan and Tajikistan to cooperate rather than compete. The Diplomat
• Tajikistan's success in counter-terrorism efforts will depend on balancing strategic alliances and addressing internal vulnerabilities. SpecialEurasia
• Host governments should not deport the people concerned to Tajikistan because of the risk of torture and should respect Tajik asylum seekers' full due process rights, including not arbitrarily detaining them at the behest of unfounded and politically motivated requests by the Tajik government. Human Rights Watch
• Russia says its troops are ready to respond to potential threats and challenges emanating from Afghanistan and to identify and neutralize terrorist cells that are attempting to violate the borders of Tajikistan. Pakistan Observer
• China will continue to unswervingly promote friendly and mutually beneficial cooperation with Tajikistan, and firmly support Tajikistan's efforts to safeguard national independence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity. Caspian Policy Center

Last updated: 13 June 2025