Our Scans · Taiwan · Weekly Summary

• [New] The erosion of operational warning time means INDOPACOM and US decision makers could have less time - and less certainty - to respond if China initiates military action against Taiwan. Atlantic Council
• [New] The CCP's purges of top military leaders, whether for genuine corruption or for ideological disagreements, show a lack of trust that could be a limiting factor on Beijing's willingness to pursue military action against Taiwan. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) produces chips for Nvidia and Apple, with AI applications projected to exceed 30% of revenue from 2025. Bizclik Media Ltd
• [New] Today the only circumstance in which Australia could credibly find itself under attack from China would be if Australia joined the US in a war with China over Taiwan. Antinuclear
• [New] High tariffs on Taiwan could prompt U.S. clients to shift orders to South Korea or Japan, or push China to speed up domestic chip production. [News] Chip Tariff Window Closes Wednesday Amid Quiet P
• [New] Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) plans to establish a chip design center in Munich, Germany, to strengthen its presence in the European Union. GeopoliticsUnplugged Substack
• [New] The South China Sea disputes and the Taiwan issue loom large, with China pressing territorial claims that could leave Australia with no cost-free choices of political alignment. CYFIRMA
• [New] Taiwan is likely ahead of China regarding countering cybersecurity threats, which could be critical for defending against potential infrastructure attacks ahead of a Chinese invasion. 24/7 Wall St.
• A Chinese blockade or invasion of Taiwan would cripple semiconductor supply chains, triggering widespread disruptions for U.S. businesses. USA Herald - The People's Voice
• China has a stated goal of having its military have the capability to take Taiwan by force if necessary by 2027, a deadline that is seen by experts as more of an aspirational goal than a hard war deadline. Hereford Times
• Taiwan, with international support, will continue fortifying its porcupine defences to raise the stakes of any attack. The World's Only Public Nuclear Threat Advisory System
• Japan - a U.S. treaty ally - would be directly threatened by a Taiwan conflict and has indicated it would cooperate with the U.S. (for example, by allowing use of bases or even deploying its Self-Defence Forces to aid Taiwan's defence). The World's Only Public Nuclear Threat Advisory System
• Heightened tensions across the Taiwan Strait have raised insurance premiums and demand for political risk coverage on East Asian shipping lanes. TGL-Team Global Logistics Co.,Ltd.|Logistics Under Glob
• Health supplements making bone health claims in Taiwan will need to adhere to a new set of functional claims and will no longer have to undergo animal testing. NutraIngredients-Asia.com
• After decades of potential invasion threats, the small but mighty island of Taiwan has spared no expense to help thwart a Chinese invasion. 24/7 Wall St.
• US deterrence in key military theaters (Europe, South China Sea, Korean Peninsula) will remain effective for the time being, and the United States does not get drawn into an active military conflict, for example, over Taiwan. Atlantic Council
• A major Chinese attack on the trans-Pacific cable network near Taiwan could trigger far-reaching consequences: destabilizing the global economy and potentially marking a shift toward military conflict. Just Security
• While India's hesitance to support Taiwan's defences stems from its historical rivalry with China and its relationship with Pakistan, the support from Taipei indicates a potential for stronger ties moving forward. Trends Newsline
• In return, Beijing could ease its nearby force deployments and slow the tempo of its military exercises around Taiwan. Time
• The potential conflict over Taiwan is the biggest possible flashpoint on the regional security horizon with potentially unpredictable cyber fallout. CYFIRMA
• The looming prospect of a conflict over Taiwan adds a significant flashpoint to the regional security horizon, with cyber warfare anticipated to play a major role, presenting unprecedented challenges. CYFIRMA
• The potential conflict over Taiwan looms as the biggest flashpoint, promising unpredictable cyber fallout and a prelude to a massive cyber campaign to intimidate regional countries. CYFIRMA

Last updated: 13 June 2025