Our Scans · Russia · Weekly Summary

• [New] China continues to be identified as the greatest cyber threat to the United States, with Russia, Iran, and North Korea named. National Law Review
• [New] Microsoft launched a free European Security Program aimed at enhancing cybersecurity for EU governments, particularly against threats from state-sponsored actors in Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea. Cyware
• [New] Ukraine, finding itself alone with Russia, will be forced to switch to desperate, including asymmetric strategies (massive drone attacks, strikes on infrastructure, cyber operations, etc.).
• [New] Iran could provide its proxies and partners, including the Houthis and Russia, with new ballistic missiles that it produces or materials that are needed to build ballistic missiles. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] A slow motion civil war will begin in the US, followed by a mega cyber-attack which will be blamed on China or Russia. Economic Times
• [New] The intensity of the Russian attacks on Ukraine in recent weeks has further dampened hopes that the warring sides could reach a peace deal soon - especially after Kiev recently embarrassed the Kremlin with a surprising drone attack on military airfields deep inside Russia. Leigh Journal
• [New] Ukraine's extraordinary attack against Russia's bomber force is arguably one of the most important raids in the history of modern warfare and will have a major and instant effect on Russia's capabilities. The Sunday Guardian Live
• [New] Russia struck Ukraine with a thunderous aerial bombardment overnight, further dampening hopes that the warring sides could reach a peace deal anytime soon days after Kiev embarrassed the Kremlin with a surprising drone attack on military airfields deep inside Russia. Boston Herald
• [New] Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and the SBU stated that Russia will be unable to restore half of the Russian aircraft that Ukraine struck or that it will take Russia years to restore them. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] Estimates vary as to when Russia could sufficiently reconstitute from its conflict with Ukraine to undertake an attack against NATO. Atlantic Council
• [New] Occupied Ukraine's connection to the Russian energy grid will complicate Ukrainian reintegration efforts-adding legitimacy to Russia's false claims that Ukraine is intrinsically part of Russia. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] The occupation of Yunakivka would create new hazards for the civilian population, as Russia would then be able to launch First Person View drone attacks on Sumy's city center from there. Yahoo News
• [New] Countries like the United States and members of the European Union may ramp up their military aid to Ukraine, recognizing that a strengthened Russia could have dire consequences for European security. County Local News
• [New] In response, Russia could launch massive drone attacks on Ukraine, but probably not the Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile that Putin has boasted about, nor any nuclear missiles. Newsweek
• [New] A NATO official has echoed President Donald Trump's warning that his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin will seek revenge for Ukraine's drone strikes on Russia's military airfields. Newsweek
• [New] China and Russia are members of the IAEA Board of Governors and could vote against a non-compliance resolution. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] A weakening of Russia's forces combined with growing dissatisfaction across Russia over Ukraine could lead to further attempts to topple the current leadership. Share Talk
• [New] All of the damaged infrastructure has been used to launch attacks against Ukraine The more Russian assets are depleted the less of a threat Russia becomes to the rest of the world. Share Talk
• State conflict has returned to Europe, with Russia demonstrating its willingness to use military force, inflict harm on civilians, and threaten the use of nuclear weapons to achieve its goals. GOV.UK
• Russia has issued new threats to blow up parts of Ukraine amid rising tensions. Times Now
• Russia has performed poorly on the battlefield in Ukraine and will likely hit the 1 million casualty mark in the summer of 2025. Center for Strategic and International Studies

Last updated: 13 June 2025