Our Scans · Eritrea · Weekly Summary

• Rivalries among Tigrayan political leaders threaten to derail the process of reintegrating Tigray into Ethiopia's federal structure and could rapidly escalate into a wider conflict involving Eritrea and regional actors. Africa Center
• Tensions within Tigray's main political party and deteriorating relations between Ethiopia and Eritrea, fueled by inflammatory rhetoric, threaten to push both countries toward conflict. Global Centre for the Responsibility to Protect
• The response from Eritrea, particularly from its Information Minister Yemane Gebremeskel, suggests a perception of threat from Ethiopia's ambitions, urging international intervention to ensure respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity. waryatv.com
• High tensions between Eritrea and Ethiopia could lead Eritrea to support a strengthened Fano as a proxy. Institute for the Study of War
• An outbreak of factional fighting in northern Ethiopia has led Africa's second most populous country back to the brink of civil war and threatens to reignite a conflict with neighbouring Eritrea. Counter Extremism Project
• Somalia accused Ethiopia of undermining its territorial integrity, threatened to eject its peacekeepers, and strengthened ties with Ethiopia's arch foes Egypt and Eritrea. Counter Extremism Project
• Egypt's growing relationship with Eritrea could be a limiting factor in its partnership with Djibouti due to the uneasy relationship between Djibouti and Eritrea. Critical Threats
• An agreement between Ethiopia and Somaliland to lease a port in return for Ethiopia's recognition of the breakaway republic enraged Somalia, which drew closer to Egypt and Eritrea, further stirring a pot that was already threatening to boil over. Middle East Institute
• The intensification of military training by Eritrea, accused of training militias from Somalia, could escalate regional military tensions. Addis Standard
• Sudan borders the Tigray region of northern Ethiopia - only recently emerging from a gruelling conflict that involved another unpredictable neighbour, the isolated and highly militarised autocracy of Eritrea. BBC News
• Some 60,000 people fled to eastern Sudan - which faces its own national security vulnerabilities - before a tenuous peace deal was struck between Ethiopia, Eritrea and the Tigray rebels last November. Quartz
• So - maliland's Berbera port has the potential to secure 30% of Ethiopia's cargo vol - ume.55 With its recently ended conflict, Eritrea is focused on looking for opportunities in economic development and regional stability. Air University (AU)
• Cairo saw an opportunity amid Ethiopia's growing tensions with its neighbours - Somalia, Eritrea and Djibouti - and was quick to condemn the Somaliland agreement. New Lines Magazine
• Most asylum seekers come from countries we know to be dangerous or where certain classes of people are at risk (Iran, Eritrea, Albania, Iraq, Syria, Sudan, Afghanisatan). Greater Manchester Law Centre
• Foreign ministers from Egypt, Eritrea, and Somalia will have ongoing meetings to coordinate and legitimize their foreign policies. Institute for the Study of War
• A stronger Fano insurgency or greater ethnic violence in Ethiopia would affect transnational issues involving Eritrea, Somalia, and Sudan that could further destabilize Ethiopia or other areas in the Horn of Africa. Institute for the Study of War
• A strengthened Fano insurgency increases the risk of ethnic conflict with neighboring regions in Ethiopia, such as Tigray and Oromia, and would affect transnational issues involving Eritrea, Somalia, and Sudan that could further destabilize Ethiopia or other areas in the Horn of Africa. Institute for the Study of War
• Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over parts of western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda, south-eastern South Sudan, north-eastern and south-western Ethiopia, Djibouti, eastern Sudan and western Eritrea. ICPAC
• Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, central to eastern and north-western South Sudan, eastern Uganda, western and coastal Kenya, central to northern Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, and north-western and southern coastal Somalia. ICPAC
• Areas expected to get above-normal rainy conditions include Djibouti, Eritrea, Central and Northern Ethiopia, Western and Coastal Kenya, much of Uganda, North-Sudan and South Sudan. THE TANZANIA TIMES
• An early to normal onset is expected in several parts of the region including central and northern Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, and South Sudan. ReliefWeb

Last updated: 14 June 2025