Global Scans · Brazil · Weekly Summary

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WHAT'S NEXT?: A recession in Brazil is expected to bottom out with growth turning positive starting in 2017. Its economy is expected to require a long period of fiscal and monetary adjustment after the political turmoil and public discontent of the last two years.

• [New] The roots of Brazil's current crisis, experts warn, run deep-far deeper than any single trial or legislative debate. Grand Pinnacle Tribune
• [New] Multinationals may find a more competitive environment in Brazil, while domestic companies will be better positioned to transform scientific knowledge into high-value-added products. Grainews
• [New] We expect the United States, Brazil, Canada, and Guyana to drive production growth over the forecast period. EIA - Energy Information Administration
• [New] Brazil and Peru - Latin America's largest - and sixth-largest economies, respectively - will post August GDP-proxy figures in the coming week. financialpost
• [New] Companies operating new offshore wells in Brazil, like Petrobras, might see their profitability impacted if the global supply surplus continues to depress prices, making some higher-cost projects less attractive. The Chronicle-Journal
• [New] Petrobras is reactivating FAFEN-BA and FAFEN-SE plants for urea/ARLA 32 from early 2026, investing R$76M ($14M) total and R$1 B O&M contract, targeting 20% of Brazil's 8 M-tonne nitrogen demand to cut imports, supporting 800 jobs (+1,400 in Sergipe) and farm stability. The Rio Times
• [New] Brazilian soybean exports in Oct-25 are expected to reach 7.1 mmt, a record high for the month and 51% above Oct-24. Archer Financial Services
• [New] With demand set to rise by at least 40% by 2030, T & E calls for global leaders meeting in Brazil for COP 30 to agree to limit the expansion of a climate solution that is doing more harm than good. T&E
• [New] Brazil committed $1 billion to the TFFF, a novel financial instrument fund championed by President Lula da Silva that will pay countries who succeed in preserving their tropical forests. The Weekly Anthropocene
• [New] Brazilian law mandates a gradual increase in the biodiesel mix of one percentage point per year, potentially reaching 20% by 2030. ADM Investor Services
• [New] Brazil and South America: New AI labour standards require transparency in AI-driven personnel management, with Brazil's Ordinance 32/2025 creating specific obligations for risk and bias mitigation in corporate AI hiring tools. The Undisruptable Woman with Margaret Spence
• [New] EV Expansion: WEG bets on megawatt-class EV charging, serving 60% of Brazil's 1,168 electric buses, opening Sao Bernardo hub for maintenance / recycling, and launching Europe sales in 2026 with 1 MW units to cut stops for fleets. The Rio Times
• [New] Brazil is expected to close the year with exports of around 105 mln tons, a new record. UkrAgroConsult
• [New] Brazil's Wasted Energy Fuels Green Mining Boom: With wind and solar power going unused, crypto miners are striking deals to tap surplus electricity. Coinpedia Fintech News
• [New] China's digital yuan and Brazil's digital real suggest a move toward blockchain-based settlements, which could be incorporated into a BRICS framework. GIS Reports
• [New] Economic Gamble at 15% Rates: Brazil's Selic hold signals deeper troubles with 5.13% inflation, slowing GDP to 1.6-2.2%, and high real rates of 9.51% amid low savings and government debt service at 7.6% of GDP, risking recession while U.S. tariffs add pressures; markets expect no cuts until 2026. The Rio Times
• The agreement on the BRICS economic partnership strategy through 2030 is being finalized. / Brazil Watcher Guru
• Key statistics and facts include a 25% increase in Arabica coffee prices since the start of 2025, Brazil and Vietnam accounting for 56% of global coffee supply, and a projected 12.4% decline in Brazil's Arabica production. Liberty Beans Coffee Company
• Brazil and other mineral-rich regions have emerged as key focus areas for future partnerships and development, providing both supply chain stability and long-term growth opportunities. TechBullion
• Led by the Brazilian government, it could safeguard more than a billion hectares of forest by 2030. HELLO!
• Global wheat supplies are projected at nearly 1.07 billion metric tons, down 2.5 million from July, with smaller crops in China, Brazil and Argentina more than offsetting gains in the European Union. American Farm Bureau Federation

Last updated: 14 October 2025