A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

3 October 2022
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
From the droughts that have gripped the world this last year to the catastrophic floods in Pakistan, there is no longer any doubt that climate change is a material threat to communities and businesses around the world. PwC
As innovative businesses around the world focus on the push to net zero by 2050, it is important to change perceptions of IP ownership and raise awareness of its value to society as a whole. Open Access Government
Estimates that by 2023, 60% of CIOs at companies world-wide will be primarily measured for their ability to cocreate new business models and revenue streams, chiefly through enterprise-wide collaboration. Help Net Security
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
  • Extreme event solutions at Verisk (AIR Worldwide) provides risk modeling solutions that help individuals, businesses, and society become more resilient to extreme events. Verisk
  • Two years of a global pandemic and the Russian-Ukrainian war are starting to shake things, after highlighting risks and resiliency gaps that outweigh cost considerations for all types of businesses. Manufacturing & Logistics IT Magazine
  • SMEs which import products or components from Britain could benefit from the stronger euro.
  • A large number of growers are choosing to close down their business because they do not expect any change in the short term. / Netherlands Reuters
  • The UK government has committed to consulting on preferred business models to incentivise early investment in GGRs in spring 2022, which will consider the treatment of negative emissions resulting from engineering-based processes in the UK. UK Government
  • By using the SME Climate Hub's free resources, American businesses will find it easier to access billions in tax credits announced in the recent Inflation Reduction Act to decarbonize their fleets and buildings. SME Climate hub
  • Like play-doh, Miami is each day being molded and the new wave of tech entrepreneurs have an incredible opportunity to reimagine a world class city that learns from the mistakes of traditional tech hubs. TechBullion
  • Prospective North Korean entrepreneurs will enthusiastically seize any opportunity for a space in which they can operate. United States Institute of Peace
  • Working with multinational companies like Walmart, Siemens and HSBC, and 1.5 Supply Chain Leaders Ericsson and Mastercard, the SME Climate Hub will help SMEs to receive support including education and access to improved financing and capital incentives. / USA Climate Home
  • Global mining and metals executives rank environment, social and governance (ESG), geopolitics and climate change as the top three risks facing their business over the next 12 months. Mining Weekly
  • Businesses need to change the way they evaluate risk to their global supply networks. Disruptive.Asia
  • Climate change is already expected to cause US$ 1 trillion in losses to business over the next five years. The Conversation

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

autonomous, SME, augmented reality, entrepreneur, 3D, EV
SME, artificial intelligence, company, 5G, model, entrepreneur
SME, entrepreneur, company, bank, digital, consumer
SME, business, company, entrepreneur, GDP, artificial intelligence
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
Large companies that do business in the United States would be required within three years to lay bare their contributions and vulnerabilities to climate change - including, in some cases, the planet-warming emissions associated with their customers and suppliers. E&E News
The DMA will force a change in behaviour from large tech players in Europe that is likely to ripple through business operations globally. CCS Insight
  • Texas, West Virginia, Idaho, Oklahoma and other states have either implemented or are considering policies to punish investors, banks and pension funds that are backing the companies acting on climate change and moving away from businesses that put their assets at greater risk. Reuters
  • The ECB will focus on assessing the risk profiles and risk capabilities of crypto firms, particularly their business models, internal governance, and ability to assess risk by appointing appropriate IT and risk experts. FinExtra
  • A director at energy regulator Ofgem has resigned, accusing it of favouring businesses over consumers with a rule change that will add as much as £400 to the average UK household energy bill. The Guardian
  • New measures include cancelling the planned rise in corporation tax, keeping it the lowest in the G20 at 19%, and reversing the 1.25 percentage point rise in National Insurance contributions, a change which will save 920,000 businesses almost £10,000 on average in 2023. North Staffs TV
  • Tajik entrepreneurs who import goods from Kazakhstan will receive concessional financing. The Astana Times
  • If businesses are going to attract and retain the best talent in their industries in 2022 and beyond, they are going to have to start taking their sustainability seriously. Penketh Group
  • The change to the National Insurance Threshold is a positive step for SMEs and entrepreneurs and will bring a genuine uplift to the pay packets of many if the correct accounting changes are made. London Business News |
  • Of the 66% from the 2022 report, 24% plan to switch to part-time hours, 15% will continue working for their own business and 12% are planning on becoming entrepreneurs. The Private Office
  • The Baton Rouge, Louisiana-based Amedisys has started to pilot a new model that takes into account the case rate on a per admission basis, which will hopefully drive down business per episode in order to take in more Medicare Advantage patients across its home health segment. Home Health Care News
  • Climate tech is going to be one of the most lucrative and important investment opportunities for the next 30 years but entrepreneurs in Europe are still heavily underfunded and underrepresented at the Seed stage.
  • Creative strategies, disruptive technologies, and new business models are advancing the mobility industry's push towards a clean energy economy, even while driving competitive differentiation. Manufacturing & Logistics IT Magazine
  • What the next 30 years will look like will be like the 1930's and 1940's as every business model will evolve with more intelligence, impacting many routine jobs being phased out to new jobs needing more creative thinking skills. Forbes
Financial Impact
As global trade starts to pick up once again - with cross border business payments expected to reach USD 35 trillion in 2022 and global B2B non-cash transactions expected to increase at a 10.2% CAGR to reach nearly 200 billion transactions by 2025 - payments automation is a must. Crowdfund Insider
70% of new value created over the next decade (> $100 trillion) will be based on digitally enabled platform business models.
Spending on packaging is expected to reach $1.05 trillion by 2024 driven by the explosive growth of online shopping & the adoption of direct-to-consumer business models. RSN
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
From the droughts that have gripped the world this last year to the catastrophic floods in Pakistan, there is no longer any doubt that climate change is a material threat to communities and businesses around the world. PwC
By 2050, the European Commission aimed to drive Europe into the first climate-neutral continent in the world, operating entirely on circular business models and clean technologies.
Estimates that by 2023, 60% of CIOs at companies world-wide will be primarily measured for their ability to cocreate new business models and revenue streams, chiefly through enterprisewide collaboration. WSJ
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Farmers around the world are protesting changes in the laws affecting their businesses and threatening their way of life: Canada, of course, Italy, Germany and India. Children's Health Defense
EU plastics industry 'on the precipice' due to unsustainable business model, tightening green regulations and competition from China, Planet Tracker warns. Business Green
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
Estimates that 60% of CIOs at companies worldwide will be primarily assessed on their ability to co-create new business models, revenue streams and collaborate throughout the entire enterprise by 2023. S&P
SMEs will have created 600 million new jobs worldwide by 2030 alone. original-thinking-applied
One of a handful of new clauses to the global framework says banks' boards and senior managers should consider whether including climate risks in their business plans may warrant changes to its compensation policies. Financial Times
Key topics
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
True leaders of the energy transition will ultimately leapfrog industry margins with sustainable business models that not only attract investors, talent and consumers, but also serve a vital role in the world's energy future. WordPressBlog
Most notably, hospitality, brick-and-mortar retail, and commercial real estate all face obstacles that might ultimately see them adapting their business models to new global realities. Investopedia
Over the past two years, companies around the globe have continually changed the way they conduct business to meet new needs that will, ultimately, find 60% of us working remotely by 2024. VentureBeat
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
In the coming years, many businesses will start using smart assistants to perform various important tasks.
85% of chief executives believe that AI will dramatically change their business over the next years.
How can the data from personal fitness trackers be used to enhance the current business model?
The single biggest challenge for organisations remains how can they successfully implement sustainability goals that are aligned with their business model and objectives? Gulf Business
What can we all do to strengthen the relationship between purpose and profit as entrepreneurs, managers, employees, consumers, and investors? Reimagining the Future
If the DPA were to continue to be used as a business model to support power CCUS in the 2020s, how could it be evolved to be used as part of a competitive allocation process in the 2020s? UK Government
Cloud technologies are more sustainable, but how do they impact SMBs' ability to compete? Cisco Blogs
How can Businesses forge trust with customers and society to become models of sustainability now and over the long term? GTF New York
Who are the entrepreneurs who will lead innovation? Credit Suisse
If CCP leaders would "disappear" Jack Ma for speaking out against excessive government meddling, what would they do to the next entrepreneur who tries to shake things up? Discourse
What about business owners who have rethought their model from retail-focused to direct to consumer, and grew because of it? Multichannel Merchant
What changes will occur in what employees want from businesses during the next 10 years? Transport Times
What can the world learn from African entrepreneurs? DLD Conference
What can healthcare learn from content entrepreneurs? Spreaker
Should we treat the data we generate when we live and work in digital spaces as a public good, open for entrepreneurs and researchers to use? Medium
How does an entrepreneur approach an IP strategy when there is a competitive landscape? Gowling WLG
With so many eVTOL makers fighting for forthcoming market share, will all of the business models survive a price-hike when competing with electric cars for the precious minerals? Simple Flying
Has the massive market consolidation that has occurred over the last decade made it easier for cooperation as the few publishers that remain standing converge on a common business model or will it lead to a greater need for each player to differentiate themselves by taking their own path? The Scholarly Kitchen
Will decentralized technology be based on crypto or Web3 business models, or something else? Disruptive.Asia
How will auto dealers reorient their business model around qualifying cars? Forbes
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