Effect seeks to anticipate the future by counting observed scan hits over time to produce a Sigmoid curve that shows the rate of adoption of an Issue.
Uses of the method
Steps to complete
'History' can be shared with others or kept private using the 'Visible to' fields and through the 'tag', 'report', 'share'', 'link and 'comment' functionality. Use 'tag' and/or 'report' to aggregate your analyzes, 'share' with others via email, Facebook and Twitter etc. or add a 'comment' to ask others where they agree/disagree and encourage them to make their own analysis from their unique vantage point.
The S curve was first studied by Gabriel Tarde, a French sociologist in 1890 as an innovation model. Its representation here as a foresight tool was first proposed by Graham T.T Molitor.
Even with all the advice and tools we have provided here starting a foresight project from scratch can be a daunting prospect to a beginner. Let us know if you need help with this method or want a group facilitation exercise or full project or program carrying out by us. We promise to leave behind more internal knowledgeable people who can expand your initiative for better organizational performance.
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